TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No56c105,014$58,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,823.2610443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes44c56,064$24,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,398.9717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No12c21,222$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.645360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,6004746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes43c13,717$5,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,885.4712848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed No67c7,801$5,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2291154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No51c5,714$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.4438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c5,310$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,921.0436851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes45c5,280$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.25040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes44c4,580$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.215740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes42c4,500$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6307060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No12c4,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No70c4,019$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.1712737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes43c3,633$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.3529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes41c3,258$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.396858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes30c3,129$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.1124963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No57c3,002$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes36c3,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9301729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No13c2,261$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9321037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No57c2,200$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes42c2,192$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.524744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16012921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No57c1,898$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.9639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes43c1,685$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.2414235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.481650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No57c1,145$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.629341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c1,087$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.8429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No58c1,039$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc913…e51cbacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes43c907.52$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes42c833.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.3322054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No56c831.59$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8114952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No14c821.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.984621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes43c783.11$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1112242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No53c770.47$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.3519028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes68c725.8$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4120462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No56c712$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34813847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes47c515.81$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.383036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.991560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes22c453.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.482934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No57c450$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.59444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.84544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No57c382.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.35341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No23c377.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.796735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes43c360$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes28c357.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.321520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes43c351.16$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.832653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes43c327.91$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfd7…44edbacked Yes47c321.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c315$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.71,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73af…fa89backed Yes44c307.59$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.59540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes44c302.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17719344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes28c299.93$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes41c296.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.733050%15 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No56c269.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No56c265.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.812060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.512330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes42c235.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.732433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No58c227$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.664445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6007…d7ccbacked Yes35c217.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778348.2%40 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.774535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No56c211.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ab…7e31backed Yes43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes45c168.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes44c168$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.082030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes31c152$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6868…4877backed Yes42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569d…ede8backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No58c144.46$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.798243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…0e7fbacked No56c144.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes40c143.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.035614.3%8 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Yes43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No58c127.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7416853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953850%19 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes42c119.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5922547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.056753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dc…dc7bbacked Yes42c117.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.284353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2828639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6415966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.