TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over32c2,243$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.731,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34ba…d291backed Over64c1,600$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over72c1,395$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under69c999.97$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.994553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c984.65$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under55c901.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over42c841.09$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over49c816.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9924158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over31c637.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19213447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over48c593.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.127252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c588.16$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c554.08$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.961,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c533.39$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.864,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over72c517.27$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over46c399.89$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.954134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c289.07$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.61,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over44c288.88$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over31c284.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.252,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c282.1$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21415263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over74c280$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.219259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c214.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.581,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under68c210$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over62c204.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2841260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over44c187.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5312241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1893…a913backed Over62c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over30c168.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under63c166.34$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over32c145.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c144.84$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8817745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd3…4255backed Over51c137.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over52c115.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3232357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Over30c96.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under68c95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.425553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd716…bad1backed Over55c87.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over36c87.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.226158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.232255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.225456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.226058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under68c85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.232656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over52c79.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.982458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under51c70.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9112055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over53c69.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over51c69.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205832.8%19 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over32c61.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.233156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.246660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.233057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c59.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5616445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.984944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under61c44.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f2…f023backed Under69c42.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4442…d020backed Over49c41.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under71c41.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9310051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.827661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1914845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.628458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.626259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.623658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.627758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.620556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.617456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under54c29.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.320931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under76c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a5e…12a8backed Over72c26.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over70c24.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.313259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e9…64b9backed Under56c22.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1583…5896backed Under74c20.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.