Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d72a4e2740c6bf1a3e42425aa652150f293b9d71876c3ba97e05c65c50028a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 17,845$8,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,774.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 17,469$8,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,694.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked No | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked No | 44c | 353.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 62c | 321.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 61c | 261.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Yes | 62c | 202.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 191.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 170.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…fe74backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 58c | 141$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 60c | 118.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 70c | 51.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 36c | 48.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Yes | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 55c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed No | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 43c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…64b9backed No | 45c | 31.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 56c | 25.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 60c | 24.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…3a00backed Yes | 59c | 24.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.