Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72fdbbd1844ae6d1d9cef8a0a7795a3b46582fb2fe784c998e8cfa21a5287e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 36c | 2,510$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 1,536$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.12 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 32c | 1,252$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 1,191$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 66c | 958.52$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 485$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 32c | 429.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 67c | 394$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 79c | 392.49$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 380.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…42bfbacked No | 77c | 336.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 313$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 245.54$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 65c | 170.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 12c | 100.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…2f45backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…f009backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…5f7dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…f930backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…d124backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…6665backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…76b1backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…9a98backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…7a6abacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…9871backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed No | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 23c | 44.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…4bf6backed Yes | 36c | 37.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 32.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e04cbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.