Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c959e7e7f3aacbd1130a0fd337af959649270d671b24df380326095e3ae542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 3c | 1,202$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 58c | 850.33$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.19 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 839.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 59c | 837.21$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 709$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 39c | 229.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 216.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 49c | 188.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 39c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 40c | 63.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…fbd1backed Yes | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…8f17backed No | 60c | 40.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…c64fbacked Yes | 41c | 40.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.