Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e44a0a9511ee354ce4f0def860bca5aca89f295573b72ca7729c521849b895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 65c | 15,421$9,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,963.41 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 4,081$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 3,702$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.57 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,313$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,250$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.13 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 30c | 1,130$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,040$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.39 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 54c | 945.81$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 573.47$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed No | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked No | 6c | 417$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 392$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 49c | 372.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 53c | 332.7$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked No | 49c | 277.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 37c | 205.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 40c | 173$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 26c | 160.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…e2a3backed No | 50c | 125.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 51c | 123.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 48c | 83.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 70.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 69.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Yes | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 62.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked No | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…447cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 38c | 34.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 58c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 47c | 25.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 48c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.