Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9aec114538e685f935e7d8df4de700cc6d5a41889a187e035e556dfab9591b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 9,844$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 80c | 8,999$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.81 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 2,472$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…4be7backed Under | 77c | 422$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked Over | 21c | 421.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 23c | 412$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 270.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Over | 23c | 203.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 10c | 178.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Under | 76c | 64.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Under | 80c | 37.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.