Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce97b386a2a76c985204a51b6bc4e4ead2cda99d3b8176e66d3441b0f16e0ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 9,817$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.35 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 2,788$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 2,483$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.24 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 17c | 1,249$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 381.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 363.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 284.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 203.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 203.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…fffebacked Over | 46c | 159.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 68c | 147.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Over | 32c | 136.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 46c | 123.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Under | 61c | 111.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 107.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 20c | 78.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 27c | 71.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 18c | 63.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Under | 55c | 45.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 76c | 44.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 73c | 43.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 55c | 42.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 44c | 41.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 63c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.