Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15115478a64fbe5910f338dd6fcfcf059f2164477f0dffc8d712fc0b12a99c7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 42c | 65,000$27,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,187.18 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 37,328$15,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,037.23 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 59c | 31,346$18,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,852.54 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 20,251$15,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.73 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 10c | 14,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 60c | 11,541$6,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.23 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 10,808$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.62 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 10,065$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.86 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 8,814$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.72 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 42c | 7,795$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 41c | 5,488$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 59c | 4,755$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 41c | 3,661$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 58c | 3,536$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.14 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 57c | 3,296$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.28 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 62c | 3,211$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.08 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 13c | 3,128$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 13c | 3,007$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 2,804$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.24 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 58c | 2,781$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.9 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 2,579$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.42 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 18c | 2,422$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.98 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 57c | 2,247$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.17 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 2,109$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.17 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 60c | 2,036$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 1,622$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.42 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 41c | 1,413$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 1,371$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.5 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 57c | 1,274$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,257$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 61c | 1,228$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,201$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.06 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…8eedbacked Yes | 31c | 1,149$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 60c | 1,117$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.47 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 16c | 1,059$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 1,010$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 56c | 999.88$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 18c | 977.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 22c | 948.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 916.57$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 13c | 900.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 40c | 845.65$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.4 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 43c | 755.27$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 59c | 750.73$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 665.54$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 41c | 634.63$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 56c | 634.09$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 80c | 586.53$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 58c | 555.46$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 42c | 542.02$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +281%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 41c | 484.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 60c | 483.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 42c | 474.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 45c | 440.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…bbaabacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 57c | 432.51$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 8c | 420.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 24c | 402.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 59c | 399.67$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 40c | 387.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 79c | 381.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 40c | 374.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 13c | 361.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 59c | 299.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 19c | 271.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 44c | 269.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 40c | 249.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 41c | 246.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 41c | 244.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 40%114 W · 171 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?this page
- Will FC Kopenhagen vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.