Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Kopenhagen vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc75e146bd30e715695ea21722b3865ef93ccbdf059ac2a2c7e71aef050643c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7704…48c5backed Yes | 28c | 5,001$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…eb42backed Yes | 28c | 4,920$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +251%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 12c | 3,773$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…a983backed No | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…6fd1backed No | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…2149backed No | 72c | 3,055$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 29c | 1,706$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 44c | 1,633$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.54 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 1,246$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.27 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,117$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,012$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.64 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 1,010$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.8 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 32c | 941.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 866.52$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 812.9$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.76 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 27c | 700$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 20c | 534.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed No | 71c | 426.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 73c | 410.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 70c | 357.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 68c | 297.9$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 28c | 280.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 280.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 244.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 240$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 232.6$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 231$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…8dc6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…22bbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 69.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 71c | 66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Yes | 29c | 64.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…915abacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 27c | 44.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…31bcbacked Yes | 76c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Kopenhagen vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?No won
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.