Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x288cb81be051ec8cda3e5cd0b722cdc692e9df583cffc01cf185131f82ab2122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,366$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 945.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.58 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Under | 42c | 941.95$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 50c | 758$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 722.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.34 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 53c | 567.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 63c | 555.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Over | 45c | 506$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 486.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 58c | 463.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 58c | 442.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 332.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 36c | 284.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 273.46$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 53c | 270.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 79c | 248.1$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 70c | 172.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 131.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 58c | 128.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 39c | 122.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 61c | 118.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 31c | 117.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 37c | 114.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 72c | 111.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 53c | 93.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Over | 63c | 80.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 39c | 71.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 76c | 65.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d9f5backed Over | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 36c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 33.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 64c | 26.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 64c | 24.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 63c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 63c | 22.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…04c9backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.