TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chelsea FCof Chelsea FC, Charlton Athletic FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Charlton Athletic FC54c12,053$6,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,562.286,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Chelsea FC48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Chelsea FC41c5,062$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.937636.8%28 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Chelsea FC51c2,055$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.911234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Chelsea FC16c1,851$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.845729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Charlton Athletic FC50c1,541$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Charlton Athletic FC49c1,533$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.462,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…7b64backed Chelsea FC48c1,184$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Charlton Athletic FC55c1,173$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Chelsea FC50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Charlton Athletic FC50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Chelsea FC54c826.31$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.312766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+64.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Charlton Athletic FC25c795.81$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.939035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Chelsea FC50c595$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.514456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea FC58c479.78$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.511,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Chelsea FC38c465.79$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Charlton Athletic FC50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Chelsea FC50c375.23$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6213447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Chelsea FC54c370.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Chelsea FC44c328$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.97343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Chelsea FC50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010736.4%39 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Chelsea FC46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.996841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Chelsea FC50c281.32$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.661,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Chelsea FC50c260.54$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2730059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Chelsea FC47c233.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.025832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Chelsea FC49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089436.2%34 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Chelsea FC49c203$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Chelsea FC50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Chelsea FC51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.996240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Charlton Athletic FC51c179.17$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.651,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Chelsea FC54c159.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Chelsea FC48c157.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.287953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Charlton Athletic FC51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.529343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Chelsea FC50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Charlton Athletic FC53c120.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6424349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Charlton Athletic FC52c115.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9833753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Chelsea FC38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2618444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Chelsea FC48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Chelsea FC50c100.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Charlton Athletic FC50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Chelsea FC54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Chelsea FC50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Charlton Athletic FC50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Charlton Athletic FC50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Chelsea FC53c94.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2622244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Charlton Athletic FC50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Charlton Athletic FC50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Charlton Athletic FC50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Chelsea FC50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Charlton Athletic FC50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Charlton Athletic FC50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Charlton Athletic FC50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Chelsea FC50c69.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.974037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b4…a70dbacked Chelsea FC48c68.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Charlton Athletic FC50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Charlton Athletic FC50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Chelsea FC50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Chelsea FC53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8511557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Chelsea FC43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Charlton Athletic FC53c46.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Charlton Athletic FC65c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.024932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Chelsea FC79c35.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.573557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Charlton Athletic FC50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Chelsea FC48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.256437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Chelsea FC48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Charlton Athletic FC50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Charlton Athletic FC53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7816445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Chelsea FC50c25.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.625658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Charlton Athletic FC53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Charlton Athletic FC64c20.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Chelsea FC50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105450%27 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377d…b135backed Chelsea FC50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Charlton Athletic FC66c18.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0717549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Chelsea FC79c17.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.784862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.