Premier League · resolved market
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb71f3ad46b5dc599ce1d621c05c8e159dd97bffe424ea03d9a5a5e0a91e249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.97 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 3,179$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 1,962$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 65c | 1,562$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 25c | 931.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.66 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 59c | 928.29$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…600bbacked Over | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 75c | 781.43$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 41c | 550$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Over | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 219.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 33c | 205$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1c…dc61backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 69c | 196.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 173.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Over | 40c | 129.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 41c | 96.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…fe74backed Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 92.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 41c | 75.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 61.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 43c | 58.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fb…9527backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 41c | 37.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 41c | 32.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 44c | 31.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…fb10backed Under | 74c | 26.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 41c | 25.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 61c | 17.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.