Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4535dc5dc55c234e6bfb7ff96237fad17f26adf86e9cf1cae3535fed6dedf69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $840,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,026,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $840,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 52c | 260,734$136,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,894.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 112,828$55,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,441.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 47,579$21,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,884.93 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 24,440$12,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,503.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 15,219$7,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.31 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 47c | 12,515$5,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 11,587$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.58 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 10,364$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.66 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 37c | 9,629$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes | 53c | 8,432$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 7,459$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.59 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 7,016$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.37 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 46c | 6,769$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.74 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…e597backed No | 46c | 6,700$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 6,298$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 48c | 6,064$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 52c | 5,846$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.59 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 54c | 5,205$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.27 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 48c | 4,973$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 4,899$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,412$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 5c | 3,774$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 3c | 3,442$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,437$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 50c | 3,112$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 2,953$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.44 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Yes | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,575$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 44c | 2,514$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.09 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 2,354$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.23 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 55c | 2,169$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.05 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 48c | 1,915$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…8f46backed Yes | 55c | 1,904$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 45c | 1,850$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 44c | 1,663$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.44 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,628$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.32 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.75 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,480$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.55 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 1,429$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 43c | 1,176$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 55c | 1,173$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.73 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 51c | 1,154$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Yes | 55c | 1,090$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.41 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 45c | 1,081$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 53c | 1,059$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 54c | 1,021$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 1,006$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.68 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.97 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 43c | 978$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.02 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 47c | 960$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 909$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.27 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 905.89$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 21c | 884.35$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.94 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 884$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…9910backed Yes | 54c | 828.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 820.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.11 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 54c | 802.2$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.34 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 61c | 800.02$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 55c | 800$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 741.08$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 719.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 37c | 698$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.25 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 54c | 685.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 55c | 677.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 54c | 650$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 604.04$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 54c | 599.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 35c | 595.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 594$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.33 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5c41backed No | 51c | 572.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 51c | 554.9$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…5665backed No | 44c | 548.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked No | 56c | 537.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 27c | 534.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 53c | 509.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.