Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b65da60c2e949403412901f8e73aa742de40abcb2982d89d4e944d11730fd29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 74c | 34,011$25,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,842.74 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 26c | 15,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 10,997$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 74c | 5,017$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 3,768$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.69 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 2,852$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 2,438$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,364$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.42 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Yes | 60c | 1,956$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,697$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 73c | 1,352$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 1,290$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 26c | 1,168$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 999.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 74c | 999.03$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…6e90backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 745.12$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 715.86$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 21c | 707.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 70c | 533.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 500$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…dbeebacked No | 74c | 390.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 389.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 65c | 379.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 372.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 8c | 366.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…6511backed No | 74c | 364.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…e03bbacked No | 74c | 354.05$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Yes | 6c | 320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 312.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 72c | 283.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Yes | 29c | 272.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…c498backed No | 74c | 248.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 67c | 244.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…c2a1backed No | 74c | 240.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 216$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 75c | 198.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…6b25backed No | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 26c | 184.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 183$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 26c | 176.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 17c | 176.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 9c | 175.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 27c | 174.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 26c | 151.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 32c | 121.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 33c | 112.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c0d1backed No | 74c | 112.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 110.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…ef29backed No | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3053…8b0dbacked Yes | 17c | 95.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 72c | 93.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…db0bbacked Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 84.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…eb18backed Yes | 26c | 75.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…a2d1backed Yes | 27c | 66.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…679cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…77c2backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 30c | 49.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…913cbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4077backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.