TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c16,386$7,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,744.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c3,548$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.2298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over50c3,437$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.44463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over49c3,015$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.653023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6906100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Over77c2,362$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.832867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick75cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c2,048$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.471,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over29c1,999$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.296839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over59c1,699$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under41c1,279$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.712737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under24c1,276$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2420827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c1,142$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.3393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c1,089$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.7134643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over47c999.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Under50c998$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over72c899.81$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9410451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over58c899.78$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.911827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over56c886.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over76c658.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.577464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over76c658.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over31c637.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.784035%14 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over45c634.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.155556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over67c593.39$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.084524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.329154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over69c521.7$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1648065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c479.22$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2210361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1613137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c394.3$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7814748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c375.41$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over57c354.34$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.734866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over53c344$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over48c337$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2416842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under52c327.58$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over63c323.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c308.89$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8913142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over76c300.21$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.057254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.517954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over71c292.48$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.824070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over52c274.62$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.824553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over68c269.89$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under24c249$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c248.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over34c243.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over49c238.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.782254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over67c223.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9611268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c222.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8315253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over42c214.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.292842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over38c211.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4111144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over64c210$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.424070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c208.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked Over46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over68c199.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9715450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over52c191.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.332871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over75c182.07$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.282748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under25c180.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under53c177.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over67c142.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over27c129.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.038863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503675%27 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Over75c117$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under24c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6428931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7f…9127backed Over67c100.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over51c98.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1411547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over52c98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…ca0fbacked Under53c91.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over34c89.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3915623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.334738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c82.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2615648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over63c79.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over52c76.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.883956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+184.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4613553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under32c69.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.593253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c69.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6834553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Over59c68.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.051546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Over76c65.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x704a…a260backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under28c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7814452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41e…0a1cbacked Over47c62.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.471861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.617955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06a0…a39fbacked Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.