Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc482e9db2901e0ca7ebbe6214470d7b8305233f7952613543cb7d5006f89556d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 16,386$7,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,744.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 3,548$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.22 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 3,437$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.4 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 3,015$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.65 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 2,362$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.83 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,048$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 29c | 1,999$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.29 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 59c | 1,699$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 41c | 1,279$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 1,276$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,142$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.33 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 1,089$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.71 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Under | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over | 72c | 899.81$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 58c | 899.78$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 56c | 886.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 658.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 76c | 658.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 31c | 637.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 45c | 634.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 67c | 593.39$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 69c | 521.7$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 479.22$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 42c | 394.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 375.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 57c | 354.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 53c | 344$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 48c | 337$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 52c | 327.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 323.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 308.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.89 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 76c | 300.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 71c | 292.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 52c | 274.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 68c | 269.89$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 24c | 249$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 36c | 248.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 34c | 243.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 49c | 238.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 67c | 223.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 222.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 38c | 211.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 64c | 210$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 208.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 68c | 199.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 52c | 191.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 75c | 182.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 25c | 180.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 67c | 142.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 27c | 129.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 75c | 117$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 67c | 100.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…ca0fbacked Under | 53c | 91.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 34c | 89.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 79.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 76.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 34cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 32c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 69.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Over | 59c | 68.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 76c | 65.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…a260backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…0a1cbacked Over | 47c | 62.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…a39fbacked Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.