Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe12b4cb939537b5c1712df934c36e6d2076279239a7eff0481428868cd4cf005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 5,006$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 51c | 2,661$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 1,226$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.17 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,125$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.89 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 54c | 635.5$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.33 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 581.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 46c | 504.48$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 50c | 296.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 48c | 256.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 235$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 46c | 222.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 55c | 171.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 169.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 156.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 54c | 132$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 110.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 21c | 75.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…bcfebacked Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 64c | 54.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes | 50c | 43.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 53c | 25.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 55c | 21.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.