TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c52,065$41,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over3c32,340$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.211,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c15,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Over46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5203141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c11,580$6,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,324.8852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under56c7,043$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.962475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c6,524$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.9845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over46c4,025$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.757358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6881827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c869.98$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.4912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over24c671.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2310736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over35c624.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under54c603.81$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0222947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c503.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under57c461.84$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1986949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c420$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18918459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over47c375$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under76c343.65$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.241060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.516851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over35c299.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9916842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under55c281.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8516448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Under76c274.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.442030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over45c252.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.793638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over46c218.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.544235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under76c197.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.717750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8114155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8128458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.58148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.57746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Under60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c166.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9969…a641backed Over24c159.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over27c149.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over37c132.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over31c127.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5415459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over14c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over39c99.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.814858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Over24c92.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under57c87.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over35c86.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5511856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under73c86.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over25c86.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.165028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c85.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7111337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over29c83.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.015131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over36c81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.438242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over36c80.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Under76c76.14$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.756048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under79c72.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…ffb3backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Under51c65.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed Under58c65.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.392770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c63.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over40c63.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2119436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under61c60.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.777847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6536852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.