Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d83ca60218571887f076ca9c560147516af938afc483e1185bf51b6a70a909f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 12,333$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.27 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 25c | 7,300$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 71c | 5,634$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 18c | 1,250$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 1,043$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.62 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 999$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Under | 30c | 681.13$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 48c | 592.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 556.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 29c | 528.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 370.73$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 76c | 360.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 78c | 333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 37c | 280.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 65c | 279.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 41c | 260.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 39c | 259.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 71c | 236.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 31c | 234.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 76c | 197.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 26c | 194.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.71 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 31c | 178.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…8f86backed Over | 72c | 153.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 55c | 149.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 59c | 144.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Over | 25c | 139.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 118.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Over | 60c | 108.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 33c | 106.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 28c | 100.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 72c | 100.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 40c | 81.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 78.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…a70dbacked Over | 62c | 78.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 16c | 76.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 45c | 71.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Over | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 37c | 67.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 70c | 61.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 49c | 61.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 37c | 50.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 73c | 50.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed Over | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 36c | 47.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 41c | 43.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 39.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 37c | 31.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 53c | 30.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Over | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…24dbbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 72c | 23.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 51c | 21.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.