TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c9,653$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,614.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under56c5,661$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.9525752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c1,900$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0641,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Under53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.583647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under58c840.37$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.7349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over39c825.26$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.2617428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over45c665.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.299532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over42c657.34$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.651,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c537.16$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c515.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.461,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Over67c459$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.822343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over48c417.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7110343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Under56c396.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over56c390.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba1…ac85backed Over31c387.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under60c386.45$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under73c364.89$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662737%10 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c275.16$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.071,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over56c266.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over39c223$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4212951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c210$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c210$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under56c210$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under59c192.46$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3113447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4936259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under28c179.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over60c174.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under56c165$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under56c165$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.435157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over54c147.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over44c127.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7533753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under37c121.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over57c103.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5115060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under59c98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over44c96.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under56c95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.225553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Over44c93.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.453951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.427354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over41c86.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.236845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.626158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.632255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.630554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.625456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.626058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.632656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under56c84.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5928255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over60c80.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2513450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under53c75.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under56c67.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0329057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under36c67.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9818444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.633156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.646660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.633057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8327758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.656158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8325560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.632158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8331359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over53c57.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c50.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2829657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Over68c47.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.312240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under60c47.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.469346.2%43 W · 50 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.439651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over64c39.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.085646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under43c38.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2512055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7428654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over31c36.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.969137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.626959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed Under69c34.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over33c32.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9613841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.779245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.828458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.826259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.825558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.822958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.822858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.