Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a0c51c227beedc14b5c463721a3d0c112c78dada1158002807fc564f8ab5e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 14,260$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 69c | 11,274$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.15 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 10,542$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.62 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 36c | 5,778$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.05 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 4,842$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.24 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 4,780$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.4 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 1,657$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 2c | 1,382$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 950.01$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 71c | 856.85$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 65c | 650$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 37c | 598.34$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 35c | 427.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 420.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 62c | 224.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 37c | 199.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…d6a7backed Under | 53c | 159.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Over | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Over | 65c | 149.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 49c | 140.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 17c | 119.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 34c | 95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 55c | 91.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5ee8backed Over | 64c | 66.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 65c | 62.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 46c | 58.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 60c | 54.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Over | 65c | 44.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 66c | 43.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 53c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 61c | 36.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 62c | 35.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 35.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 64c | 34.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 47c | 32.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…b135backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 37c | 29.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 26.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.