Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2184dc8ba22d4fe04b4756ccb437c25be18c6ff537101745bd89ca5ec7f2eb8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AFC Bournemouthof Newcastle United FC, AFC Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 27c | 16,006$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 73c | 9,074$6,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Newcastle United FC | 35c | 2,700$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.04 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 66c | 381.48$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Newcastle United FC | 39c | 236.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 67c | 217.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 210$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Newcastle United FC | 25c | 162$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 124.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Newcastle United FC | 34c | 118.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Newcastle United FC | 31c | 113.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Newcastle United FC | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Newcastle United FC | 33c | 74.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Newcastle United FC | 35c | 70.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Newcastle United FC | 36c | 66.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Newcastle United FC | 21c | 63.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Newcastle United FC | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed AFC Bournemouth | 68c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed AFC Bournemouth | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed AFC Bournemouth | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed AFC Bournemouth | 62c | 29.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 63c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.