La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947eb2219cc128c9f093b544b1a6de00f9cd57a7a2fc26d7839abe9cded09d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 17c | 5,475$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 5,019$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.98 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 32c | 2,224$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.62 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 694.35$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 19c | 549.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 547.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 19c | 383.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 17c | 371.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…1e05backed Yes | 13c | 276.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 257$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 59c | 256.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 214$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 208.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 42c | 99.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 41c | 87.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 83.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 52c | 76.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 59c | 68.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 42c | 39.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 60c | 23.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…968dbacked Yes | 59c | 21.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.