Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge vs. Monaco end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ee196a7362d60dc3657d30056e7b64a15026f89831bccf7ef67ee965d8a87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 27c | 19,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 73c | 11,203$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.92 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 4,146$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.96 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 9c | 718.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 7c | 470.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 466.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 385.79$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 273.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 11c | 237.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 134.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 26c | 66.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked No | 75c | 63.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 26c | 46.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…0b66backed No | 74c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 75c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 74c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge vs. Monaco end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?Yes won
- Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.