Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc4af4de40c4a9f406a2931afe8a04b6062e85adf00f1b88c4ceb500698bbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 53c | 5,392$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.83 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…5b78backed No | 52c | 4,414$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 4,246$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.08 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 3,652$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 48c | 2,049$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 6c | 1,989$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,343$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 965.27$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 901.53$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.13 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 51c | 843.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.32 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 47c | 744.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Yes | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed No | 51c | 640$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…2c2fbacked No | 51c | 620$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…eecdbacked Yes | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 51c | 599.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 48c | 309.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 219.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 49c | 214.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…3f74backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 47c | 170.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ee…6e92backed No | 53c | 151.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 49c | 141.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 46c | 130.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 55c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Yes | 50c | 89.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 79.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 51c | 72.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 52c | 57.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 55c | 55.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed No | 45c | 55.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 56c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 48c | 42.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…677fbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed Yes | 53c | 39.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 48c | 38.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed Yes | 50c | 37.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 47c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…d077backed Yes | 47c | 31.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.