Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $170 in December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2947ad6ca5eacdfaf1d2588e9f95f2514aad15ef8907805570fcfd2cc9e9bf39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 23c | 34,515$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…766dbacked No | 76c | 25,749$19,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 2c | 5,897$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,507$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 2c | 2,528$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…4d5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,272$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 24c | 1,097$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…6d3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,040$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 896.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 3c | 774.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 28c | 706.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 596.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 553.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 479.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…3988backed Yes | 23c | 435.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…e77fbacked Yes | 19c | 216.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 29c | 193.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed Yes | 15c | 184.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 75c | 160.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 78c | 132.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…6981backed Yes | 30c | 123.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 16c | 105.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c658backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 26c | 62.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 71c | 25.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $170 in December?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in December?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in December?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in December?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in December?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in December?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.