TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $150 in December?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9e8…b4b2backed Yes1c85,984$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…766dbacked No75c27,352$20,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,776.321872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf7…d037backed Yes4c11,733$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6563…5f50backed Yes1c10,049$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No75c9,219$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.4113053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes39c9,136$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.1829126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes13c9,102$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.4935123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c8,224$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.11,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8517…e731backed Yes2c5,736$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes3c3,355$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.73260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes16c3,348$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.783948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…6d3dbacked Yes3c3,261$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8860%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c2,807$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.446785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc68…c919backed Yes0c2,585$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes3c2,455$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.292999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…4d5ebacked Yes3c2,168$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd462…eac9backed Yes27c1,943$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9620…dcf0backed No73c1,943$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a15…5e14backed Yes21c1,879$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3c…a4c0backed No79c1,853$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa84…65dcbacked Yes27c1,839$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d21…0876backed No73c1,804$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe652…d114backed No48c1,775$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9233050%15 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2a…7e01backed No76c1,758$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+87.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb108…dee6backed Yes24c1,758$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x614a…9abebacked No76c1,758$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…135bbacked Yes24c1,751$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…779bbacked Yes27c1,729$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes15c1,726$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.312015%3 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes2c1,661$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.591203.3%4 W · 116 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…952dbacked Yes21c1,651$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987c…893cbacked No79c1,633$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+135.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce4…ceccbacked Yes4c1,580$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c9…8407backed No76c1,562$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+152.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7d…2a63backed Yes24c1,560$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9e…fdb6backed Yes21c1,537$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…0920backed Yes4c1,526$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d55…88fabacked No79c1,522$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2f…4945backed Yes27c1,494$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7b…e919backed Yes3c1,490$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x856a…f95ebacked Yes21c1,487$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a079backed No76c1,487$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…6e7dbacked Yes24c1,483$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes2c1,472$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.262270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c1,460$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.732125.7%12 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb783…c9b7backed No79c1,454$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b9…8665backed Yes27c1,451$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e88…f6a5backed No73c1,440$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924f…fdbbbacked No73c1,439$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735d…a20ebacked Yes24c1,417$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13af…1b16backed No76c1,404$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c1,370$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c1,264$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.541463.4%5 W · 141 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…4f88backed No79c1,260$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes2c1,173$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.061073.7%4 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eea…7aafbacked Yes21c1,168$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes55c945.29$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.5332524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…21c8backed Yes3c942.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5226…8554backed No20c870.4$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes54c616.67$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335034%17 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e92…a962backed Yes45c540$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed Yes51c513.13$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.572821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb86…bf67backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6525824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes32c467.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2155032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked Yes5c449.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedad…17b2backed No80c412.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836250%31 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88df…a457backed Yes80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40a9…ed78backed Yes78c371.82$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dd…f987backed Yes16c309.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes7c309.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39781.3%1 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick6cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed No73c248.83$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes41c243.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.25166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-87.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2f…279ebacked No50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x131f…2fedbacked Yes47c222.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.142119%4 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes17c220$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.41437.7%11 W · 132 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c5…9600backed Yes12c208$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf559…45a9backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba10…0592backed Yes39c179.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.421225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No45c175$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616537.6%62 W · 103 L-21.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No74c174.03$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes28c163.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9130531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd391…5747backed Yes12c159.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5fe…c658backed Yes39c152.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked No22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1177139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes24c142.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3231523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…167dbacked Yes25c141.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc31…a289backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x464b…4c84backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf4…cc11backed No33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes15c87.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7812722%28 W · 99 L-19.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaeb7…6981backed Yes51c83.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Yes14c77.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-82.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2589…85e0backed No27c74.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Yes44c73.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Yes44c73.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-80.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3b5…d9cdbacked No76c65.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe69d…bb93backed Yes49c57.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec39…bbe5backed Yes42c56.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.