Token Launches · resolved market
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc07933483a5c0e73b7fcd6e43cdb548ac5dec8ef73f42ec6f49081c70f3a240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,923 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee8…6e70backed Yes | 4c | 151,449$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…00ffbacked Yes | 20c | 76,638$15,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,327.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…fb31backed No | 80c | 28,353$22,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…bf4dbacked No | 80c | 28,210$22,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…3d5fbacked Yes | 24c | 26,513$6,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…5057backed No | 80c | 20,075$16,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925d…e1e9backed No | 68c | 19,199$13,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…2815backed No | 39c | 15,255$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…5b97backed Yes | 60c | 10,947$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 26c | 9,806$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.72 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,567$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed No | 32c | 6,908$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,581$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e6d7backed Yes | 49c | 5,550$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 1c | 5,377$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798b…cdd1backed Yes | 22c | 5,091$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…966bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,977$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 79c | 4,090$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7bc6backed Yes | 55c | 3,991$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 41c | 3,812$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.01 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…459dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,522$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -61%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f42…ffadbacked Yes | 3c | 3,280$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…645bbacked No | 48c | 3,272$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 31c | 3,146$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…3185backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…c691backed Yes | 0c | 2,997$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 66c | 2,900$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.99 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…87e6backed Yes | 76c | 2,663$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 71c | 2,605$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.95 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 2,595$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 13c | 2,501$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,235$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…a94abacked Yes | 9c | 2,206$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 2,142$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…bff4backed Yes | 17c | 2,105$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…9df5backed Yes | 1c | 2,084$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 39c | 2,033$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…22a6backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 17c | 1,726$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…97edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,674$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 20c | 1,558$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…b445backed Yes | 5c | 1,505$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 33c | 1,497$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.6 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,437$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,416$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…183cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…c482backed Yes | 17c | 1,398$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…62b0backed Yes | 66c | 1,356$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed No | 59c | 1,305$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…f534backed Yes | 58c | 1,299$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 16c | 1,247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 72c | 1,246$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…4a73backed Yes | 63c | 1,153$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…2be1backed Yes | 26c | 1,052$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,039$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…fd92backed No | 76c | 1,005$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…1204backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 27c | 985.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.44 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690e…6b4fbacked Yes | 8c | 976.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 965.84$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…c409backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 32c | 848.68$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 36c | 848.17$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…c28abacked Yes | 17c | 822.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 16c | 800$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 50c | 759.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 26c | 758.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1f4bbacked Yes | 18c | 754.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…61cebacked No | 37c | 726.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…f5e5backed Yes | 16c | 717.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed No | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 32c | 699.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 15c | 677.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…7122backed No | 31c | 675.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 48c | 655.11$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…e9afbacked No | 51c | 646.27$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 62c | 643.26$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…6bf8backed No | 79c | 633.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed Yes | 24c | 625.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 73c | 625.09$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…1beabacked Yes | 63c | 600$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…9df3backed Yes | 77c | 599.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1902…0a28backed Yes | 67c | 586.25$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Yes | 20c | 528$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 23c | 526.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 524.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed No | 80c | 509.89$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…1dc5backed Yes | 15c | 504.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…6346backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 38c | 479.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…e704backed Yes | 62c | 466.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…27fbbacked No | 43c | 463.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes won
- Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
- Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.