Movies · resolved market
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1dc7a6f726e04fbc30c7498bf9994b9c1d843f1bf50ec8bb6cb8ce6402335fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,410 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 7c | 11,886$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.63 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 4c | 11,117$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.5 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 8,962$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed No | 3c | 7,469$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…7493backed No | 2c | 7,338$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 3c | 5,880$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 5,454$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.26 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked No | 3c | 5,055$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffe…538ebacked No | 3c | 4,636$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 7c | 3,635$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked No | 3c | 3,586$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked No | 3c | 3,384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 13c | 3,373$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.35 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…10cdbacked No | 2c | 2,861$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 2,764$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed No | 2c | 2,713$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 2,555$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 13c | 2,468$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 2,431$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 6c | 2,262$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 7c | 2,210$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 11c | 2,073$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 2,067$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 19c | 2,058$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 14c | 2,007$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 1,924$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed No | 2c | 1,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 12c | 1,777$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed No | 3c | 1,715$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed No | 2c | 1,707$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ac98backed No | 3c | 1,700$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 5c | 1,691$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 4c | 1,682$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed No | 3c | 1,672$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 4c | 1,658$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,638$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 4c | 1,606$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed No | 8c | 1,590$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed No | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 4c | 1,468$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 4c | 1,466$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 4c | 1,403$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 33c | 1,293$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 9c | 1,240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…a8e6backed No | 21c | 1,212$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 67c | 1,208$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 8c | 1,144$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…87f3backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 1,081$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 4c | 1,060$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 34c | 1,046$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…69adbacked No | 4c | 1,013$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed No | 16c | 1,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…ff5abacked No | 13c | 1,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88a…7e26backed No | 1c | 998.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 66c | 988$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 10c | 972$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 14c | 896.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 73c | 869.03$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…e273backed No | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…c86ebacked No | 2c | 816.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 73c | 812$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 2c | 799.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…7f92backed No | 4c | 780$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 2c | 777.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…4166backed No | 4c | 769.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 67c | 765$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e7…1f1fbacked No | 4c | 750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 3c | 725.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…c801backed No | 13c | 724.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 3c | 723.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked No | 7c | 714.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 708.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed No | 33c | 680$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 3c | 667.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 76c | 657.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 11c | 650$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…2f5cbacked No | 3c | 645.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 33c | 643$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 78c | 639.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 71c | 639.25$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 24c | 637.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 6c | 619.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…c2abbacked No | 3c | 610$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…90f6backed No | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 3c | 594.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 19c | 564.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 33c | 563$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 79c | 562.64$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…24edbacked No | 4c | 560$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed Yes | 67c | 556$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 33c | 542$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…0b0cbacked No | 4c | 533.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 33c | 529$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…72ecbacked No | 3c | 525.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…894fbacked No | 4c | 523.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Eva Victor win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jennifer Lawrence win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sydney Sweeney win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.