World Politics · resolved market
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4875e917d1e83c903d8d0c1d5766f2bea48cb17eab0de153557d05aba592bdd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1831…ae73backed No | 54c | 93,205$50,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,306.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…5818backed Yes | 46c | 93,200$42,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,304 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 64c | 4,880$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 43c | 4,415$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.37 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6217…2d0bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,512$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 10c | 2,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 10c | 2,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Yes | 62c | 1,883$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…3befbacked No | 40c | 1,560$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 9c | 1,550$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9a…4103backed No | 40c | 1,543$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…2314backed No | 40c | 1,533$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6c…fb9cbacked No | 40c | 1,481$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 12c | 1,300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 35c | 1,280$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.22 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…4c37backed Yes | 60c | 1,038$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…4360backed Yes | 60c | 1,036$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…be3bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,029$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…2b1dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,025$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…2a9ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,021$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e4…e391backed Yes | 60c | 968$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 786.28$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 77c | 751.57$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…516dbacked Yes | 47c | 637.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 41c | 605.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 50c | 599.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…788dbacked Yes | 52c | 574.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 56c | 572.66$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 51c | 489.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…7adfbacked Yes | 46c | 484.44$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 42c | 473.41$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac77…c15ebacked Yes | 46c | 433.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Yes | 57c | 419.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed No | 53c | 397.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 41c | 390.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 18c | 368.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 70c | 326.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…de93backed No | 31c | 319.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 319.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 54c | 299.09$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 43c | 293.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…d48bbacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 14c | 250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 241.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 66c | 239.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…9a1abacked Yes | 44c | 233.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 43c | 231.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…13f2backed Yes | 42c | 226.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed No | 33c | 220.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Yes | 43c | 214.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 53c | 213.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 212.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed Yes | 45c | 204.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked No | 45c | 203.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 46c | 195.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 42c | 187.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 61c | 165.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…c175backed Yes | 62c | 162.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 54c | 162.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 69cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…1a48backed No | 43c | 160.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 65c | 153.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed Yes | 35c | 140.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…b3c2backed Yes | 50c | 137.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 11c | 125.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed Yes | 51c | 122.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 122.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…d4e6backed No | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…3db5backed Yes | 34c | 118.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +189.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…f0febacked Yes | 63c | 110.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf567…c198backed Yes | 50c | 109.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…e0b6backed No | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…d246backed Yes | 72c | 104.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…41afbacked Yes | 44c | 102.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…c57dbacked Yes | 57c | 101.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3745backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 94.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f6…f13cbacked Yes | 53c | 91.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed No | 55c | 90.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 57c | 87.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked No | 58c | 85.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 50c | 80.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 42c | 75.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Yes | 68c | 74.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 43c | 70.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 55c | 67.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 53c | 60.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b62…9ecdbacked No | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…9e55backed No | 44c | 59.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6968backed Yes | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked Yes | 54c | 57.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…d682backed Yes | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327d…f206backed Yes | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?this page
- Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?No won
- Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.