World Politics · resolved market
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb734c24d82c41df3ce57cf06974044391b0b493d84a27a505d0917789e0e8fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 6c | 3,071$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Yes | 38c | 2,934$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,875$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…944ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,560$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…c0f0backed Yes | 40c | 1,546$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff78…04e3backed Yes | 4c | 1,494$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…4fa9backed Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…4c64backed Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed Yes | 36c | 1,114$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…d41cbacked No | 60c | 1,041$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…f413backed No | 60c | 1,038$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…66dcbacked No | 60c | 1,027$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…3be1backed No | 59c | 998.65$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 885.66$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6217…2d0bbacked Yes | 38c | 873.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…91a6backed No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…36ecbacked No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…fe3dbacked No | 60c | 832$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 13c | 764.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 13c | 697.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…bde6backed Yes | 47c | 645.58$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…e44ebacked Yes | 47c | 615.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed Yes | 7c | 602.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Yes | 32c | 563.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked Yes | 15c | 509.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 40c | 504.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 26c | 497.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed Yes | 32c | 470.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…4478backed Yes | 46c | 407.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 31c | 400.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 40c | 385.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914c…868dbacked Yes | 61c | 369.62$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…9063backed Yes | 46c | 367.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…d48bbacked Yes | 42c | 340$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…99cfbacked Yes | 43c | 332.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 27c | 326.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 30c | 301.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 37c | 280.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 27c | 276.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 36c | 255.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…61bbbacked Yes | 39c | 254.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 15c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +373.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…db85backed Yes | 40c | 244.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 12c | 234.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…493fbacked Yes | 41c | 233.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 72c | 233.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9df1backed Yes | 31c | 229.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…bdb8backed Yes | 18c | 225.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed Yes | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 220.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…f5bebacked Yes | 55c | 207.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…53c3backed Yes | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04de…922abacked Yes | 23c | 187.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…7ab3backed Yes | 56c | 184.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…7334backed Yes | 36c | 168.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…d5e5backed Yes | 45c | 166$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 164.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 61c | 149.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 147.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…c57dbacked Yes | 42c | 138.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…8678backed No | 73c | 137.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes | 53c | 133.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 75c | 133.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 127.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 42c | 121.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…cb87backed Yes | 12c | 120.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 59c | 113.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 62c | 105.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…e04abacked No | 48c | 104.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bd7dbacked No | 70c | 99.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…e58cbacked Yes | 38c | 99.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…69f3backed Yes | 31c | 95.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…ac70backed Yes | 23c | 91.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…0d2bbacked Yes | 29c | 78.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…5aacbacked Yes | 68c | 75.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 39c | 74.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…b6d7backed Yes | 40c | 74.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 42c | 71.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bd…d8a6backed Yes | 36c | 71.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…e43ebacked No | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…1742backed Yes | 22c | 55.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 38c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…7374backed Yes | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…f81ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9824…d18ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…24dcbacked Yes | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…f0ddbacked No | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 55c | 45.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 38c | 41.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 76c | 40.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…0f8cbacked Yes | 75c | 40.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 45c | 38.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…adafbacked Yes | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…0b5cbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…5916backed No | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?this page
- Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?No won
- Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.