UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4631a657fad84bf63b1b42bf540fd60aa3693993a0e35d8db60c8c70d87502cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergei Pavlovichof Sergei Pavlovich, Tallison Teixeira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 17,373$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.34 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Tallison Teixeira | 14c | 13,892$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.34 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 12,646$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.33 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 8,499$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 4,331$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.29 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 4,201$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.13 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 3,960$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 3,442$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Sergei Pavlovich | 79c | 1,890$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 1,411$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tallison Teixeira | 3c | 1,214$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…01a0backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 1,194$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…29a3backed Tallison Teixeira | 21c | 1,160$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tallison Teixeira | 3c | 1,125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.4wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Tallison Teixeira | 20c | 1,024$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…9417backed Tallison Teixeira | 21c | 963.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…97d9backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 893.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Tallison Teixeira | 20c | 871.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 842.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Tallison Teixeira | 9c | 827.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…dc81backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 822.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 806.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Tallison Teixeira | 2c | 779.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…6b62backed Tallison Teixeira | 21c | 765.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…fa84backed Tallison Teixeira | 22c | 761.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Tallison Teixeira | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 734.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 660.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 625.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 606.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 598$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 554.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Tallison Teixeira | 19c | 525.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 491.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Tallison Teixeira | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 475.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tallison Teixeira | 7c | 469.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Tallison Teixeira | 19c | 429.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 413.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 383.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 377.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 374.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Tallison Teixeira | 20c | 288.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 280.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 271.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tallison Teixeira | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…aff1backed Tallison Teixeira | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 239.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 229.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 228.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 220.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Tallison Teixeira | 23c | 217.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 215.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…2329backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 200.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 199.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…e9bfbacked Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2664backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…64aabacked Tallison Teixeira | 20c | 174.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 174.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Sergei Pavlovich | 78c | 165$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bb…a23dbacked Tallison Teixeira | 21c | 161.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3371backed Tallison Teixeira | 19c | 159.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…e8c1backed Tallison Teixeira | 28c | 159.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 158.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 151.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tallison Teixeira | 16c | 148.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 146.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac66…5847backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 143.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 133.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Tallison Teixeira | 22c | 127.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…75c2backed Tallison Teixeira | 20c | 125.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 119.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…4901backed Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…3a3bbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 116.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Tallison Teixeira | 17c | 114.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Tallison Teixeira | 44c | 114.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…4bcbbacked Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…2071backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Tallison Teixeira | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Sergei Pavlovich win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Tallison Teixeira win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.