Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608f4b57c0f4304675973a8ad09581c7227fe4dc72c9f1dc921590cd66d056ef

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $893,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $793,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,213 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9a22…c1efbacked Yes	8c	126,000$10,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,080	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes	9c	89,753$8,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,077.73	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Yes	9c	50,988$4,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,588.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	8c	50,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes	9c	42,474$3,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,822.66	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes	9c	30,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	8c	30,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes	8c	21,251$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a2…630bbacked Yes	8c	20,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+172%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Yes	9c	13,935$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.15	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes	3c	12,215$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.15	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	12,090$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.44	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes	9c	12,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	8c	11,775$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.98	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes	8c	11,140$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.2	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes	9c	11,111$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed Yes	7c	7,526$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	8c	6,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	8c	6,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Yes	7c	5,556$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	150	34.7%52 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes	9c	5,556$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	7c	5,500$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.5	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	3c	5,168$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.76	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	8c	4,691$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.28	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c28…6ac4backed Yes	13c	4,583$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.8	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf66…a858backed Yes	8c	4,456$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Yes	9c	4,394$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	7c	4,200$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes	8c	4,111$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.88	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	8c	3,750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	18.3%11 W · 49 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes	9c	3,333$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbccb…6d3abacked Yes	9c	3,333$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes	8c	3,306$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.42	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes	8c	3,125$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	7c	3,000$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.31	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	35cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	8c	3,000$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.38	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.99	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	8c	2,900$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.38	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes	9c	2,667$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes	8c	2,655$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.39	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2df…debabacked Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb09…ee0dbacked Yes	4c	2,488$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778f…e69cbacked Yes	8c	2,381$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.49	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9957…0666backed Yes	8c	2,374$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.93	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81e…03dcbacked Yes	2c	2,222$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes	9c	2,136$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42a8…7cffbacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	7c	1,987$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.09	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…c55ebacked Yes	9c	1,956$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dde…2407backed Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes	8c	1,797$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.74	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ac…5024backed Yes	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…783fbacked Yes	2c	1,589$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	8c	1,454$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.43	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…245ebacked Yes	8c	1,430$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…a739backed Yes	8c	1,412$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.93	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes	9c	1,389$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	124	29%36 W · 88 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes	9c	1,389$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73fb…ed58backed Yes	2c	1,363$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.62	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes	7c	1,351$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.55	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed79…1e49backed Yes	9c	1,333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	8c	1,252$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddf…0c69backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd312…7236backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…44b2backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…b75cbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c51…3c8fbacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-76%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes	8c	1,201$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd250…91b7backed Yes	5c	1,192$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.6	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes	8c	1,188$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df9…3a84backed Yes	6c	1,178$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.68	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	34cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes	8c	1,150$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	227	30.4%69 W · 158 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x733e…859dbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x919d…bf1ebacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89bb…4399backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c8…a93ebacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe1…befbbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb60…941bbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 1+ shotsYes won
Alex Baena: 2+ goalsNo won
Alex Baena: 2+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 3+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 4+ shotsNo won
Alex Baena: 5+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 3+ shotsNo won
Cucurella: 1+ shotsYes won
Cucurella: 1+ shots on targetNo won
Cucurella: 2+ shotsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 1+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 2+ assistsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ goalsNo won
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsYes won
Dani Olmo: 4+ shotsNo won
David Raya: 2+ savesNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 4+ shotsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsNo won
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ assistsNo won
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
Gavi Paez: 1+ goalsNo won
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Juan Musso: 2+ savesNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shotsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event