NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc35f7fbbfadf30ae5406e4dbcc9cd54e64ca63b5c493b4f8fd16f747a1eea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 43c | 1,209$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.31 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked No | 43c | 1,104$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.26 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked No | 51c | 937.49$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 57c | 859.65$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 45c | 815.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.69 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Yes | 57c | 366.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked No | 46c | 323.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 49c | 304.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Yes | 55c | 266.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…8490backed Yes | 57c | 181.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…d569backed Yes | 55c | 180.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…9e94backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…5863backed Yes | 58c | 164.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…e47bbacked Yes | 43c | 159.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…6af2backed Yes | 51c | 136.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed No | 48c | 129.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 49c | 122.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 56c | 107.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 44c | 104.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…636abacked Yes | 58c | 103.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 45c | 96.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…6af6backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -8.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…20c4backed Yes | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Yes | 57c | 82.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 47c | 73.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…dafabacked Yes | 54c | 65.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Yes | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…08e3backed No | 53c | 56.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed No | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…23dbbacked Yes | 58c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4389…6109backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…4048backed Yes | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…6d9ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…4d12backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c0aabacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…4216backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…3466backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 44c | 30.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…3676backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45b…2fdcbacked Yes | 57c | 19.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…5347backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.