Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1a220a1ec9be568f9fae83a3562b22da58f6d47e80e52dc0f1e5ef7caf4d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 12c | 3,071$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 898.91$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.24 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…7c6abacked No | 72c | 881.18$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 875$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 620.82$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.91 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 588.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 36c | 497.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 35c | 247.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 35c | 239.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 67c | 233.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 31c | 211.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 145.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 24c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Yes | 35c | 141.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 124.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 121.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes | 30c | 120.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 120.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 117.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 77c | 94.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 71.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 70.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 63.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 53.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 45.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 36c | 37.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…2535backed No | 77c | 32.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 35c | 31.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…e36bbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 35c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 27.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked No | 76c | 20.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 58c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 67c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.