Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc2d7b890e2f4040c709489524498ac6937f1078e5ac48e378c11be2a3e1b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 63c | 1,532$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 928.72$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.01 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 2c | 819.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 726.92$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 617.64$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.27 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 2c | 509.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 30c | 493.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 38c | 336.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 299.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +98%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 42c | 280$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 54c | 276.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 261$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 240.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 7c | 224.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 20c | 181.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.45 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 177.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 171.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 149.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 75c | 117$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 115.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 27c | 103$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 99.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 39c | 92.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 27c | 90.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 36c | 79.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 63.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 35.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 30.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 68c | 27.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.