Middle East · resolved market
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35481add6852622436ba70d466479e5d4ea676c9ba8c3961917e39fd1047061d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ce…271dbacked No | 0c | 82,050$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 5c | 14,182$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed No | 1c | 10,552$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes | 60c | 9,291$5,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed No | 34c | 9,265$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 55c | 9,129$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 0c | 8,030$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…2663backed No | 12c | 6,827$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 72c | 6,458$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.09 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 16c | 6,151$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.79 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 72c | 5,724$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.78 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes | 47c | 5,233$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 32c | 2,939$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 23c | 2,900$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 53c | 2,744$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.48 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 45c | 2,740$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.8 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 1c | 2,599$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 56c | 2,249$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.73 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,122$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.89 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 65c | 2,099$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.58 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 40c | 2,024$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.41 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 39c | 2,005$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.15 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 68c | 1,973$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.36 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 25c | 1,925$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.66 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed No | 22c | 1,762$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,719$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.36 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 38c | 1,578$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 56c | 1,304$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.81 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,271$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 68c | 1,170$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 32c | 1,130$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.58 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 55c | 1,101$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.07 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…b808backed Yes | 12c | 901.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 77c | 897.14$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 62c | 819.62$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.23 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 34c | 768.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.97 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…ef2ebacked No | 25c | 759.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 60c | 708.86$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.88 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 60c | 704.42$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc881…b071backed Yes | 54c | 670.1$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 23c | 653.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed No | 18c | 644.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…c39abacked No | 22c | 625.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked No | 35c | 625.75$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 71c | 576.16$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…8aabbacked Yes | 47c | 559.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 52c | 552.42$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.16 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 65c | 539.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 60c | 512.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed No | 32c | 499.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…e6a2backed No | 57c | 468.55$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 38c | 445.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.3 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 34c | 434.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…222bbacked Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 30c | 400$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 22c | 396.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…f295backed Yes | 9c | 382.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed No | 43c | 370.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked No | 55c | 360.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 70c | 350$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed No | 19c | 300.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…b466backed No | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 299.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 53c | 286.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 31c | 282.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 61c | 274.01$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked No | 24c | 260$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked No | 41c | 243.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 45c | 242.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 35c | 241.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 51c | 239.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 238.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 60c | 238$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 41c | 237.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 15c | 235.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 48c | 229.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 35c | 228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…752abacked Yes | 58c | 205.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 24c | 204.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 10c | 199.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…a1b5backed No | 10c | 194.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes | 56c | 190$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked No | 6c | 180.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed Yes | 57c | 176.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…3a92backed Yes | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 172.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 56c | 156.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…9ca4backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes | 53c | 146.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked No | 38c | 145.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…34f1backed Yes | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…e345backed Yes | 73c | 136.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?this page
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 12?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 15?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.