Middle East · resolved market
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993b9072d075bad2cfadfefd35f2efbda3c91dc68b6c5d32eae4229c581eb705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 282$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Yes | 65c | 229.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked No | 9c | 173.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…0614backed No | 29c | 143.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -12.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 61c | 118.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked No | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc2…4fc4backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 62.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 38c | 61.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…0fd6backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…6ab1backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…6cb6backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…f316backed Yes | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?this page
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 12?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 15?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?Yes won
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.