Us Politics · resolved market
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e766675550e2f60fc68c5b868a3ac7b8e3b1ed7b14d3526af054fc082e41094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 12c | 7,912$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.95 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,874$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 789.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 7c | 755$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…f844backed Yes | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 74c | 678.5$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…06a2backed Yes | 4c | 676.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 6c | 580.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 541$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 487.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…08e3backed Yes | 32c | 417.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…56b6backed Yes | 12c | 416.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…9ed9backed Yes | 15c | 390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…32d1backed Yes | 5c | 330.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…919dbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 266.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 67c | 234.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 196.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 185.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 184.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…e57dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…32efbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…27e2backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…31debacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…cef1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…e4b3backed No | 77c | 82.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked Yes | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 30c | 67.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…374ebacked Yes | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 66c | 52.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 31c | 47.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 46.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…7337backed Yes | 35c | 41.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…1588backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?this page
- SAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.