World Politics · resolved market
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd9fab0d2bed4aecaaec00fb9a7e17479b51804ca1dd8fc042d42eb1cd7ad85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 15c | 1,389$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ce…978cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…1f67backed Yes | 10c | 994.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 990.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…eb83backed Yes | 15c | 945.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 712.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed No | 76c | 659.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 12c | 617.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 54c | 472.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 10c | 461.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 10c | 455.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 15c | 446.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9294…253abacked No | 74c | 404.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 13c | 393.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 381.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 10c | 367.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 15c | 339.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed No | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 53c | 260.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 41c | 251.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…c380backed Yes | 40c | 247.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked Yes | 16c | 241.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 46c | 239$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b5b5backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 21c | 234.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 226.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…1eaabacked Yes | 15c | 222.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 41c | 220$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 42c | 205.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…150abacked Yes | 15c | 196.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 47c | 182.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…928bbacked Yes | 15c | 168.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…f1f7backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…905abacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 16c | 70.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 39c | 64.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…532fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…4a71backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 35c | 47.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…dc61backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…9d49backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7315…aa69backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 30.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 66c | 27.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf176…8d2dbacked No | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…bc5ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.