Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1e2ed2651c64aebb310db8db003c5ef47a1346508ad7f8d3b14ae5fe3fcccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x149f…4a34backed Yes | 4c | 5,544$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…f4a2backed Yes | 4c | 4,908$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…9123backed Yes | 4c | 3,578$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…c16dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,432$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…6f74backed Yes | 4c | 3,148$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…736abacked Yes | 4c | 2,876$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…7925backed Yes | 5c | 2,815$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…281cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…370dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,549$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…6fefbacked Yes | 5c | 2,525$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…4310backed Yes | 4c | 2,498$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…ff4dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,342$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…4292backed Yes | 4c | 2,254$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a6…1cd6backed Yes | 4c | 2,074$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…9050backed Yes | 4c | 2,073$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f86ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,952$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc891…faf5backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…6552backed Yes | 4c | 1,895$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…0635backed Yes | 4c | 1,891$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…3b2abacked Yes | 5c | 1,855$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…3217backed Yes | 4c | 1,849$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fae…7b03backed Yes | 5c | 1,835$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…64ccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c7…7080backed Yes | 5c | 1,793$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…14f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,783$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…5017backed Yes | 4c | 1,780$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…ac30backed Yes | 4c | 1,773$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…9575backed Yes | 5c | 1,733$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…9e10backed Yes | 4c | 1,728$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…9deabacked Yes | 4c | 1,660$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…08cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,652$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…3432backed Yes | 2c | 1,634$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…fe85backed Yes | 4c | 1,602$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…a152backed Yes | 5c | 1,583$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…087cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,578$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…fc3cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,571$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…b506backed Yes | 2c | 1,559$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…6e8ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,545$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…fef6backed Yes | 4c | 1,542$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…b6d6backed Yes | 5c | 1,485$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e80…63ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,451$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…2a14backed Yes | 4c | 1,442$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1da…6592backed Yes | 5c | 1,415$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d59…4542backed Yes | 4c | 1,411$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…203bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,407$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…e829backed Yes | 5c | 1,356$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…4d1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,336$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…b04bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,324$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…6dfdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,277$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…2838backed Yes | 5c | 1,267$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…ea83backed Yes | 5c | 1,255$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…77f8backed Yes | 4c | 1,216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…c984backed Yes | 5c | 1,182$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…dfeebacked Yes | 5c | 1,152$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…1258backed Yes | 5c | 1,148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…ef29backed Yes | 5c | 1,134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…0338backed Yes | 5c | 1,120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…3e4dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…a596backed Yes | 5c | 1,102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…1a10backed Yes | 5c | 1,039$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…9ac2backed Yes | 4c | 1,025$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…f256backed Yes | 5c | 1,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…beb4backed Yes | 5c | 977$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…af06backed Yes | 4c | 944$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c7…fd0ebacked Yes | 5c | 933$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…2e55backed Yes | 2c | 926$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…a899backed Yes | 5c | 890$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc425…5a0fbacked Yes | 3c | 887.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…bd63backed Yes | 5c | 866$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…f95fbacked Yes | 5c | 860$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…a0a7backed Yes | 4c | 841$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…24debacked Yes | 5c | 841$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd0…7858backed Yes | 4c | 837$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…2cb3backed Yes | 4c | 836$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…8151backed Yes | 4c | 827$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…f772backed Yes | 4c | 810$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…8a98backed Yes | 5c | 805$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…4854backed Yes | 5c | 805$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6502backed Yes | 5c | 798$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…f817backed Yes | 4c | 789$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…7b91backed Yes | 5c | 786$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc2…3e11backed Yes | 5c | 782$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…f952backed Yes | 4c | 767$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…2c78backed Yes | 5c | 759$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71b…0c30backed Yes | 4c | 754$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…09ebbacked Yes | 4c | 753$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…1976backed Yes | 5c | 751$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…e367backed Yes | 4c | 730$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…97cebacked Yes | 5c | 718$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…0ee0backed Yes | 4c | 717$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…06fbbacked Yes | 5c | 711$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…9eb3backed Yes | 5c | 686$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e5…c752backed Yes | 5c | 681$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…58c8backed Yes | 4c | 668$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…521cbacked Yes | 4c | 658$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…79e4backed Yes | 4c | 658$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…2217backed Yes | 5c | 645$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…f064backed Yes | 5c | 619$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8303…9eadbacked Yes | 5c | 616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…0631backed Yes | 5c | 614$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.