Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb9cd4e703eb4fb6d663d5686333ee653ac1252e284a0bf8e44e43ebd7db94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked No | 70c | 3,624$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 27c | 2,275$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.24 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 6c | 1,470$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 56c | 1,374$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.71 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 1,114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 54c | 1,024$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 70c | 715$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…1d97backed No | 78c | 617.48$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…55bebacked Yes | 44c | 552.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…29f8backed No | 66c | 433.65$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 9c | 427.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 418.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +1,224.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed No | 77c | 381.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 9c | 360.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 305.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 76c | 291.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 42c | 218.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 13c | 209.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 16c | 200.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 162.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 68c | 109.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…23a9backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 57c | 96.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 85.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 52c | 76.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 63.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 50c | 60.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 78c | 60.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803b…1fefbacked Yes | 66c | 42.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d5…f839backed Yes | 49c | 39.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 72c | 33.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…1926backed Yes | 49c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed No | 73c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…8398backed No | 74c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.