Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3dc8a7347a77ff12675047b65363518b3c864d8658a2488f7d5a6c6e703c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x059c…a970backed Yes | 11c | 2,475$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 9c | 2,094$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…f4f5backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 6c | 1,052$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked No | 76c | 666$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 28c | 621.75$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…2fe1backed Yes | 3c | 524.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 49c | 417.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed Yes | 66c | 380.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 35c | 260.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…23a9backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 4c | 248.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 7c | 246.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…db63backed Yes | 9c | 239.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 70c | 211$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 10c | 208.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 30c | 189.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 27c | 106.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…9384backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in April?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.