Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5f71386c319bb0d9f67ebebac0e63d85e035017ee9d13bbd7893f51c92a8dd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 12c | 34,062$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.76 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 37c | 7,236$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 71c | 6,492$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.33 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 46c | 2,284$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.01 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,438$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 57c | 1,359$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.39 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,042$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 992.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 9c | 898.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 805.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…29f8backed No | 37c | 657.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 10c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 36c | 546.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…81dfbacked No | 67c | 524.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed Yes | 49c | 510.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes | 8c | 507.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 38c | 490$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…61e1backed Yes | 7c | 456.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a3…12f0backed No | 77c | 455.49$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…a310backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 412$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…de34backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 9c | 295$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…3949backed Yes | 27c | 293.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 60c | 288.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 58c | 279.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 272.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05c…ea2cbacked No | 40c | 269.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 19c | 254.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…08f3backed Yes | 72c | 251.8$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…46a2backed Yes | 40c | 225.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 55c | 224.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed Yes | 58c | 215.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 37c | 209.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…535abacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 40c | 156.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 80c | 154.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed No | 56c | 148$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 46c | 142.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…418dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…4ae2backed No | 62c | 123.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3238backed Yes | 33c | 120.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 58c | 116.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 69c | 114.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 54c | 111.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…740bbacked Yes | 20c | 101.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 51c | 88.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed No | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 63c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 16c | 78.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7f…bb65backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 73.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…ade9backed Yes | 34c | 68.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…14c1backed Yes | 68c | 68.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…6ce5backed Yes | 29c | 51.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…31f7backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 49c | 41.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…dbb1backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…c2eabacked Yes | 39c | 37.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…bd2dbacked No | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…b46dbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…1ad5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…8ce3backed Yes | 67c | 27.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…7d4dbacked No | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed Yes | 52c | 23.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…4e46backed No | 69c | 23.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 78c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…0a48backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…ec8bbacked No | 62c | 20.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…8907backed No | 69c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed No | 66c | 18.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…6130backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.