Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d57e7aaceafb85859883fdf12dab517609c7ab53cca7ca7be442720eab88f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 20,372$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.61 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…2f82backed Yes | 5c | 16,820$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,747$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…cadebacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…5a9fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,312$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,868$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…535abacked Yes | 7c | 2,718$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3238backed Yes | 2c | 2,714$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,393$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,209$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 3c | 2,180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 6c | 1,543$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…3525backed Yes | 4c | 1,297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,152$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…8b81backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…31e3backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 2c | 867.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Yes | 13c | 833.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 1c | 820.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 2c | 684.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…818fbacked Yes | 3c | 680.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 2c | 599.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 9c | 599.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 5c | 594.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 4c | 500.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 480.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 10c | 472.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 8c | 367.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 6c | 236$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5636…adf8backed Yes | 5c | 231.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 5c | 205.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…0ec1backed Yes | 13c | 150.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked Yes | 11c | 127.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +243.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.