Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba2aefd4fc78b64366313204e3d0b393701dc3605d90732c5681a2331b44d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 12c | 24,459$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.64 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 15c | 4,453$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 4c | 3,056$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,734$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 77c | 2,029$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…08b5backed Yes | 5c | 1,839$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,472$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…7367backed Yes | 5c | 1,346$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,320$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,287$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…ce3ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 2c | 683.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 10c | 605.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…740bbacked Yes | 13c | 455.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 20c | 431.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 10c | 418.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 3c | 416.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 329.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…4955backed Yes | 8c | 266.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 7c | 224.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…4e3dbacked Yes | 38c | 210.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…cf75backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…4629backed Yes | 10c | 180.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…62d6backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…8867backed Yes | 29c | 104.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Yes | 20c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…b95dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…927bbacked No | 76c | 67.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f6…76e2backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…29f8backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…9e4ebacked No | 77c | 47.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…bd2dbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 65c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…de00backed No | 77c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…519bbacked No | 75c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdc…f084backed No | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $1.40 in June?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in June?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.