AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7bdd1bae80fe6195971c98883fcbc5730918b55174a861b779985cb5d3bd129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3466…ea7abacked Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 1,210$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.75 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 20c | 1,195$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.52 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 46c | 1,030$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.5 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes | 80c | 850.31$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 38c | 847.77$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.75 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 33c | 633.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 8c | 585.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed Yes | 75c | 535.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 5c | 515.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 35c | 489.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 417.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…79e7backed Yes | 68c | 369.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 32c | 361.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed Yes | 78c | 314.4$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 14c | 308.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 34c | 250.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 24c | 248.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 18c | 230$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 218.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 61c | 218.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 79c | 201.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed Yes | 69c | 188.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 26c | 182.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 174$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 160.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 74c | 156.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 143.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 58c | 127.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 76c | 126.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 74c | 121.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 121$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 120.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 40c | 115.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed No | 17c | 111.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 51c | 106.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 44c | 102.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 18c | 88.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…264ebacked Yes | 73c | 88.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 30c | 83.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 70c | 82.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 31c | 71.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 69.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…b853backed Yes | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 22c | 58.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fc…40bdbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4821…6ab1backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 32c | 49.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed Yes | 22c | 48.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…c9ffbacked Yes | 64c | 46.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…dfdfbacked Yes | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 28c | 43.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…4e46backed Yes | 74c | 43.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…87b2backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 58c | 40.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…42f0backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…8907backed Yes | 75c | 37.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…1a2cbacked Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 65c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…1c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Yes | 58c | 30.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 51c | 27.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf56…50e7backed Yes | 80c | 23.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…b6c2backed Yes | 54c | 21.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…a78bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…41c7backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 74c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.