Movies · resolved market
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0383e9e3d799780334f75883b4df0b1d789310dbb731e71e350df1eb273d854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed No | 17c | 18,532$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,401.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Yes | 8c | 9,519$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed No | 26c | 5,039$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Yes | 12c | 5,014$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked No | 13c | 2,904$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 55c | 2,721$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Yes | 18c | 2,570$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -86%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Yes | 78c | 2,557$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…da60backed Yes | 80c | 1,817$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 18c | 1,800$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.83 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…40d5backed Yes | 56c | 1,701$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…07cfbacked No | 51c | 1,223$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 30cpaid | +205.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…a326backed Yes | 19c | 1,149$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…6b62backed Yes | 64c | 1,045$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…6731backed Yes | 7c | 1,037$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 44c | 1,032$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…6340backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…1e83backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed Yes | 79c | 977.89$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…a84fbacked Yes | 35c | 918.56$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 19c | 810.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.47 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed Yes | 76c | 770$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Yes | 39c | 752.61$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 62c | 738$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Yes | 79c | 729.73$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…fbc5backed Yes | 30c | 663.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 33c | 653.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 49c | 653.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…259dbacked Yes | 77c | 649.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Yes | 66c | 539.26$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 76c | 538.01$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…bf79backed Yes | 72c | 510$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…ec41backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 64c | 447.35$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…fb78backed No | 10c | 439$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +880.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…6351backed Yes | 70c | 430$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Yes | 79c | 399.69$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 74c | 385.6$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 374.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Yes | 80c | 362.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Yes | 10c | 330$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…8369backed Yes | 54c | 327.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…83ebbacked Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…1fbdbacked Yes | 79c | 310$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed Yes | 53c | 303.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1db…f2e0backed Yes | 57c | 295$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 32c | 285.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 80c | 270$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 258.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5907…3b88backed No | 28c | 252.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 80c | 250.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…3f1abacked Yes | 67c | 225$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 28c | 223.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…7136backed Yes | 52c | 212$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…fb6abacked Yes | 13c | 200.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…cb3dbacked Yes | 79c | 198.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…cd93backed No | 25c | 197.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 194.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…e7d5backed Yes | 78c | 190$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 28c | 187.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…9592backed Yes | 71c | 180$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…8757backed Yes | 79c | 179.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…8c56backed Yes | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 171.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 65c | 168.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 73c | 168.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…2c84backed Yes | 75c | 160.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…4de6backed Yes | 78c | 157.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…3ebfbacked Yes | 64c | 157.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 55c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 39c | 139.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…8b13backed Yes | 74c | 135.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…6ec2backed Yes | 17c | 121.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294c…aecbbacked Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…0059backed Yes | 63c | 110.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 37c | 109.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 106.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…c341backed Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…24d3backed Yes | 80c | 104.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…289ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…b941backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…8b21backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 80c | 99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 78c | 96.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…edddbacked Yes | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…23c4backed Yes | 79c | 75.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246c…9efbbacked Yes | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked No | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…8efcbacked Yes | 78c | 69.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…a7cebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…b7e3backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…1443backed Yes | 73c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…438bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)this page
- Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.