Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $80 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3fd783dad88fb592fab330d91d7791be39a8e4dbc375c30bfb04692c308c516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 62c | 2,900$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.29 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…1913backed Yes | 66c | 2,684$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 47c | 2,552$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.71 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 2,487$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 30c | 1,789$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.29 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 42c | 1,592$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.72 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 1,216$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4ef7backed Yes | 13c | 932.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 809.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…e543backed Yes | 43c | 700.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…aa05backed No | 62c | 648.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 458.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…225ebacked Yes | 52c | 384.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked No | 64c | 310.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…92f5backed Yes | 62c | 300$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 62c | 233.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…c342backed No | 64c | 216.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…becfbacked No | 57c | 207.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 35c | 205.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes | 21c | 164.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…9abcbacked No | 68c | 147.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 136.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 45c | 134.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 80c | 133.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 75c | 132.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…5900backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…721bbacked No | 28c | 106.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +228.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 17c | 104.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 15c | 79.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…039bbacked No | 56c | 71.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed No | 62c | 65.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…663ebacked Yes | 39c | 55.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1070backed No | 61c | 52.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…bdf9backed Yes | 53c | 49.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…4d1fbacked Yes | 50c | 49.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…5d41backed Yes | 63c | 42.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…20c8backed Yes | 59c | 42.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fb…dbd0backed No | 34c | 40.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…4d23backed No | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 72c | 34.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…f997backed No | 80c | 32.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…8c84backed No | 63c | 30.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 60c | 29.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 48c | 27.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 47c | 27.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…9e4ebacked No | 77c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…1d4fbacked No | 66c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…6236backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $80 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $80 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $90 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.