TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galorysof Galorys, BORRACHEIROS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys57c15,958$9,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.525,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BORRACHEIROS42c11,944$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.5177052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Galorys56c2,565$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.182,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed BORRACHEIROS43c1,670$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.143237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed BORRACHEIROS55c1,465$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked BORRACHEIROS44c1,428$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3218754.5%102 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BORRACHEIROS45c1,332$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.41,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Galorys57c1,316$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7961055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb454…a98cbacked Galorys49c1,310$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.855940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BORRACHEIROS43c981.43$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed BORRACHEIROS43c925.4$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9233844.4%150 W · 188 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed BORRACHEIROS43c796.65$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5661654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Galorys57c711.04$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.532,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed BORRACHEIROS43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033844.4%150 W · 188 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Galorys47c646.81$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8110342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked BORRACHEIROS54c622.01$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8315355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Galorys53c590$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.271,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BORRACHEIROS51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.55,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327a…3480backed BORRACHEIROS44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Galorys50c319$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.57944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked BORRACHEIROS44c313$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7239944.1%176 W · 223 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked BORRACHEIROS48c309.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507857.7%45 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Galorys47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15933839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed BORRACHEIROS53c283.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked BORRACHEIROS44c276.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8610647.2%50 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked BORRACHEIROS42c258$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3611844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked BORRACHEIROS43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010845.4%49 W · 59 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292a…d1acbacked BORRACHEIROS43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed BORRACHEIROS44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked BORRACHEIROS47c222.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7421857.3%125 W · 93 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked BORRACHEIROS44c210.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.792437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked BORRACHEIROS44c201.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.512443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked Galorys46c200.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.483461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed BORRACHEIROS53c199.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Galorys48c198.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.062,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8c…8ee5backed Galorys51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7955…ce08backed BORRACHEIROS52c190.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed BORRACHEIROS44c181$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6423732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed BORRACHEIROS43c178.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.844852.5%235 W · 213 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked BORRACHEIROS43c171.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9743155.9%241 W · 190 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BORRACHEIROS46c138.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7948939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed BORRACHEIROS44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605736.8%21 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed BORRACHEIROS43c133.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.537525.3%19 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc79b…b9eebacked BORRACHEIROS43c129.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f5…ea74backed BORRACHEIROS55c106.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.642138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Galorys44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5664748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Galorys56c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.518350.8%93 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Galorys57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4365946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed BORRACHEIROS43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Galorys58c99.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.772,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Galorys53c90.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e71…9358backed BORRACHEIROS43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked BORRACHEIROS43c85.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.64933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed BORRACHEIROS43c82.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ee…1f82backed BORRACHEIROS50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408339.8%33 W · 50 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20f4…8b5ebacked BORRACHEIROS50c79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d1c…6b60backed BORRACHEIROS52c77.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406346%29 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Galorys47c62.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3116935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8961…64cebacked BORRACHEIROS52c57.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024656.1%138 W · 108 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Galorys45c55.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.485450%27 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Galorys46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.544045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BORRACHEIROS35c48.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.064,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed BORRACHEIROS43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012060.8%73 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Galorys46c45.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.842450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Galorys47c44.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6815337.3%57 W · 96 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Galorys55c42.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0874754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed Galorys48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BORRACHEIROS34c41.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.313,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b4…6815backed Galorys58c41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2224065.4%157 W · 83 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Galorys55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1132447.2%153 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed BORRACHEIROS43c39.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36a4…ad72backed BORRACHEIROS49c38.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BORRACHEIROS43c35.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked BORRACHEIROS43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked BORRACHEIROS43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed BORRACHEIROS45c33.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0619663.8%125 W · 71 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4eab…2caabacked BORRACHEIROS44c32.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.417750.6%39 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194b…2a11backed BORRACHEIROS44c32.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa95…5b7cbacked BORRACHEIROS44c29.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135048%24 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Galorys58c27.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8219453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Galorys48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324835.1%87 W · 161 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Galorys46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Galorys56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Galorys57c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3211250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Galorys52c20.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.666043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.